1 - Is it possible to predict forest fires in metropolitan areas?

2021-12-12
1 min read
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  1. Wildfires are naturally caused (e.g. by lightning bolts), and human-caused, e.g. with lit cigarette butts carelessly thrown away in areas where cities meet rural and industrial zones.

  2. The study about wildfires, as broad as it is, considers risk/hazard models, fire spread, control and post-disaster recovery. Wildfires are impossible to predict at the moment. However, these studies can identify fire-prone areas. To do so, they may use: historical data, satellite images, machine learning and drone monitoring.

  3. Many studies concentrate on understanding biophysical factors that make fire more likely to occur, such as: altitude, gradient, climatic conditions, solar radiation, wind, drought, and vegetation cover.

  4. Other studies focus on understanding human factors towards fire, such as, institutional governance, prevention/response attitudes of the population, economic/social loss and post-fire landscape.

References

  • Miranda et al., 2020, Environ. Res. Lett. 15, 094069.
  • Shahriar et al., 2019, MATEC Web Conf. 258, 05033.
  • Paveglio et al., 2015, International Journal of Wildland Fire 24, 212-224.
  • Chuvieco et al., 2010, Ecological Modelling 221(1), 46-58.

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